Asteroid 2024 YR4 reaches level 3 on the Torino Scale
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Asteroid 2024 YR4 reaches level 3 on the Torino Scale
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
Link: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news210.html I do hope everyone here knows the significance of this! B)   non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
ESA activated UN protocol & initiated SMPAG meeting, link: https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/ESA_actively_monitoring_near-Earth_asteroid_2024_YR4 non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
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Send message Joined: 22 Jul 13 Posts: 8 Credit: 37,665,534 RAC: 34,363 |
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
I will crunch Asteroids...and buy more beer in case I can see asteroid coming my location. It is only a city killer Asteroid, so evacuation will be issued. BTW, are you on a "point of impact trajectory"?  non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
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Send message Joined: 22 Jul 13 Posts: 8 Credit: 37,665,534 RAC: 34,363 |
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
I didn't know they already predicted possibile points of impact. If it hits Atlantic ocean, then a tsunami is possible...which would also devastate the Gdansk & some other coastal regions also in Poland. But hopefully JWST can have more accurate reading of it within next few months, before we lost it behind the Sun. non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
@Joseph Durech & @Georgi Vidinski Is Astreoids@home using this time also for going back in data & searching for asteroid 2024 YR4? non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
News update: NASA updates chances of ‘city killer’ asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth Chances of hitting Earth dropped to 0,28%. But chances of hitting Moon increased to 1%. non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
 Send message Joined: 23 Apr 21 Posts: 104 Credit: 122,959,408 RAC: 4,724 |
Last modified: 22 Feb 2025, 0:51:46 UTC As someone who works collision avoidance for NASA. The reality is that we can’t even predict satellite collisions in LEO with high confidence until like 12hrs before collision, and even then the event details can change a lot in the final hours. The amount of variables involved is crazy. So why give any thought to a potential solar system scale collision that’s YEARS away. The numbers and probabilities are quite literally meaningless at this point.  
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Send message Joined: 3 Apr 14 Posts: 29 Credit: 20,421,951 RAC: 1,011 |
With latest results, 2024 YR4 chance of hitting Earth on 2032 is lowered down to 0,004% & no chance of hitting Earth in next century; but there is still a very high chance of hitting Moon with 1,7%. Link to article: https://blogs.nasa.gov/planetarydefense/2025/02/24/latest-calculations-conclude-asteroid-2024-yr4-now-poses-no-significant-threat-to-earth-in-2032-and-beyond/ non-profit org. Play4Life in Zagreb, Croatia, EU |
mikey
 Send message Joined: 1 Jan 14 Posts: 304 Credit: 32,742,394 RAC: 1 |
With latest results, 2024 YR4 chance of hitting Earth on 2032 is lowered down to 0,004% & no chance of hitting Earth in next century; but there is still a very high chance of hitting Moon with 1,7%. I wonder if it's big enough or going fast enough to be a 'moon breaker'? Because that too would bring ALOT of problems for us on the Earth!! |
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Send message Joined: 23 Apr 21 Posts: 104 Credit: 122,959,408 RAC: 4,724 |
Last modified: 27 Feb 2025, 19:57:14 UTC |
Message boards :
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Asteroid 2024 YR4 reaches level 3 on the Torino Scale